Abstract

Biological growth data typically display an increasing sigmoidal pattern over time. Grape development is no exception and shows a similar general trend. A detailed examination of the growth process in grapes, however, reveals a few systematic deviations from this pattern. Specifically, grape development is often characterized by localized areas of growth plateaus leading to an overall growth pattern referred to as a double sigmoidal curve. Capturing and characterizing these local changes in growth is important as they represent important phases in grape development such as veraison. This paper utilizes a model adapted from the technique of mixture models to estimate the growth curve of grapes. The resulting model provides a more accurate description of the growth process and has parameter estimates directly related to the various phases of grape development. The model is demonstrated using data collected from an experimental trellis tension monitoring system in the Chardonnay grape varietie.

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Apr 27th, 11:00 AM

MODELING SEASONAL WINE GRAPE DEVELOPMENT USING A MIXTURE TECHNIQUE

Biological growth data typically display an increasing sigmoidal pattern over time. Grape development is no exception and shows a similar general trend. A detailed examination of the growth process in grapes, however, reveals a few systematic deviations from this pattern. Specifically, grape development is often characterized by localized areas of growth plateaus leading to an overall growth pattern referred to as a double sigmoidal curve. Capturing and characterizing these local changes in growth is important as they represent important phases in grape development such as veraison. This paper utilizes a model adapted from the technique of mixture models to estimate the growth curve of grapes. The resulting model provides a more accurate description of the growth process and has parameter estimates directly related to the various phases of grape development. The model is demonstrated using data collected from an experimental trellis tension monitoring system in the Chardonnay grape varietie.